The PNV and EH Bildu would be tied with 29 seats in the regional elections on April 21, where the PSE (10) and the PP (6) would maintain their representation and Sumar would obtain one seat, while Elkarrekin Podemos-AV (6) and Vox (1) they would be excluded from the Basque Parliament.

These data appear in an electoral survey carried out by the Basque Government between March 15 and 20, which gives EH Bildu an increase of 8 seats, from 21 to 29, the same that the PNV would obtain, although in the case of For the Jeltzales, this would mean losing 2 of the ones they currently have.

Nationalists and sovereignists would thus obtain 58 of the 75 seats in the Basque Chamber, or 77% of the parliamentary representation. The PES would continue to be the third most voted force with 10 parliamentarians, as currently, and the PP would also retain its 6 seats.

With these results, the PNV and the PSE could renew the government coalition as in the two previous legislatures and have an absolute majority. The combinations also allow other much more improbable government formulas such as the addition of EH Bildu and PSE or PNV and EH Bildu.

Left-wing coalitions at the state level would suffer greatly from their decision not to compete under a single brand as they did in 2020, when they gained 6 seats. Thus, Elkarrekin Podemos-AV would not be able to enter the Basque Chamber and Sumar would have only one representative.

For its part, Vox would lose its only parliamentarian four years after obtaining a presence in the Basque Parliament for the first time in its history. By territory, the PNV would prevail in Biscay and in Alava it would be tied in seats with EH Bildu, although the nationalist coalition would obtain a higher percentage of votes: 31.6% against 29.7%. The sovereignists would also gain in Gipuzkoa, which four years ago returned to the nationalists.

Concretely, the PNV would have 11 parliamentarians in Biscay, or 1 less, even if it would maintain its hegemony with 39.2% of the votes. The other seat would be lost in Gipuzkoa, going from 10 to 9. In Alava it would be repeated with 9 parliamentarians but it would no longer be the most voted force like four years ago.

For its part, EH Bildu would grow in the three territories: in Alava it would gain 3 seats and reach 9, in Biscay it would gain 3 more and also obtain 9 and in Gipuzkoa it would go from 2 to 11. The socialists would match the representation that they obtained in the 2020 elections obtaining 4 parliamentarians in Alava and 3 in Biscay and Gipuzkoa.

In addition, the Popular Party, which presented itself four years ago in coalition with Ciudadanos, a party which no longer participates in these elections, would manage to keep all its seats: 3 in Alava, 2 in Bizkaia and 1 in Gipuzkoa. The separation of Elkarrekin Podemos-IU into two different brands would result in the emergence of Sumar in Parliament with a single seat for Gipuzkoa and the disappearance of Elkarrekin Podemos-AV. In the previous elections, this coalition obtained 6 seats, 2 for each territory.

EFE

By wbu4c

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